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2022-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 54.4% 45.6% -
Bradley-Terry 54.3% 45.7% -
Margin 60.2% 39.8% -2.3 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% -
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% -
Points Off/Def 53.9% 46.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +11 (121-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 40 14-26 9-16 0-0 7 3 0 1 37 22 -
Jordan Poole * 38 8-22 4-13 4-4 4 10 0 0 24 16 -
Draymond Green * 23 1-3 0-1 2-3 5 3 0 0 4 9 -
Andrew Wiggins * 22 4-9 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 6 -
Jonathan Kuminga * 14 2-6 0-2 0-2 4 0 0 0 4 2 -
Gary Payton II 29 6-7 0-1 2-2 6 2 2 0 14 17 -
Damion Lee 27 2-8 0-3 2-2 6 0 1 0 6 5 -
Kevon Looney 23 4-5 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 8 14 -
Otto Porter Jr. 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 4 8 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 39 12-20 4-9 5-5 4 15 2 0 33 34 -
Kevin Huerter * 37 7-17 5-12 1-2 6 2 1 0 20 12 -
Danilo Gallinari * 37 9-20 2-9 5-5 5 3 0 0 25 13 -
De'Andre Hunter * 33 5-13 0-3 1-3 3 3 3 0 11 7 -
Clint Capela * 30 9-11 0-0 1-2 13 1 1 1 19 24 -
Delon Wright 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 8 -
Onyeka Okongwu 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 0 8 -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 16 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 1 5 8 -
Lou Williams 9 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter