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2022-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% -
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% -
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (97-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 33 2-10 0-3 4-4 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 32 11-22 3-8 5-7 10 3 2 2 30 - -
Corey Kispert * 30 3-8 1-5 0-0 1 0 1 2 7 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 28 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 6 2 0 6 - -
Rui Hachimura * 26 5-12 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Deni Avdija 31 7-16 3-7 4-4 10 4 0 1 21 - -
Anthony Gill 23 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 - -
Ish Smith 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 1 6 - -
Thomas Bryant 13 1-2 1-1 4-4 5 0 0 0 7 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 35 11-22 0-2 0-0 7 9 0 1 22 - -
Saddiq Bey * 27 3-11 1-8 1-2 4 1 2 0 8 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 25 5-8 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 1 12 - -
Cory Joseph * 22 1-3 1-2 3-3 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Jerami Grant * 7 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Marvin Bagley III 34 10-16 0-3 5-5 5 0 2 1 25 - -
Killian Hayes 28 4-8 2-2 0-0 6 4 2 3 10 - -
Rodney McGruder 26 1-12 1-8 0-0 7 1 2 0 3 - -
Braxton Key 18 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 2 4 - -
Frank Jackson 14 0-6 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter