Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -10 (130-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 38 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 38 | 16-25 | 2-5 | 15-17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 49 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 29 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 30 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 26 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 23 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 24 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 5-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 15 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter