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2022-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% -
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% -
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +17 (126-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 39 12-23 4-11 11-13 3 3 1 1 39 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 32 2-8 0-3 0-0 4 5 0 0 4 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 7-11 2-3 0-0 9 3 2 2 16 - -
Alex Caruso * 27 3-7 1-3 4-4 1 2 1 0 11 - -
Javonte Green * 25 2-3 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 1 5 - -
Coby White 28 9-15 5-8 0-0 3 6 1 0 23 - -
Patrick Williams 17 1-2 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Tristan Thompson 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Tony Bradley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valanciunas * 34 5-12 0-4 6-6 19 2 1 1 16 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 10-20 1-6 4-5 3 6 1 0 25 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 29 2-4 0-1 2-2 5 0 1 0 6 - -
Devonte' Graham * 29 8-12 5-7 9-9 2 4 1 0 30 - -
Herbert Jones * 23 2-5 1-2 2-2 3 3 2 0 7 - -
Jose Alvarado 29 5-10 2-3 3-4 1 7 3 0 15 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 18 3-6 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 9 - -
Willy Hernangomez 13 1-4 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Trey Murphy III 13 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Naji Marshall 11 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Tyrone Wallace 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter