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2022-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 22.0% 78.0% +7.0 (23.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +30 (133-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Oshae Brissett * 34 5-14 1-7 2-2 2 2 1 2 13 - -
Justin Anderson * 32 3-10 1-5 3-5 9 4 1 2 10 - -
Goga Bitadze * 29 3-8 0-3 8-11 4 0 1 2 14 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 26 4-9 0-1 1-1 3 8 1 0 9 - -
Buddy Hield * 26 5-12 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 2 11 - -
Terry Taylor 29 7-11 1-4 2-4 5 0 0 0 17 - -
Lance Stephenson 22 10-15 5-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 25 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 20 2-8 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Keifer Sykes 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ziaire Williams * 30 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 - -
Tyus Jones * 25 4-5 3-4 0-0 3 5 1 0 11 - -
Desmond Bane * 23 12-15 5-7 1-1 5 5 0 1 30 - -
Steven Adams * 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 17 6 3 3 6 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 16 7-13 4-7 2-2 2 1 1 2 20 - -
John Konchar 25 7-10 2-4 2-4 8 4 0 0 18 - -
Xavier Tillman 23 6-9 0-0 4-6 5 0 1 1 16 - -
Kyle Anderson 22 3-9 1-2 1-2 4 4 1 0 8 - -
De'Anthony Melton 21 6-13 5-9 2-2 6 2 0 0 19 - -
Santi Aldama 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 - -
Jarrett Culver 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter