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2022-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 50.3% 49.7% -
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% -
Margin 62.6% 37.4% -2.8 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% -
Log Adjusted 45.3% 54.7% -
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (117-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 38 5-7 0-0 1-3 8 1 0 3 11 - -
Darius Garland * 38 7-18 1-6 3-3 3 10 0 0 18 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 36 6-10 2-6 6-6 5 1 1 0 20 - -
Kevin Love * 33 5-8 2-5 0-0 10 4 2 0 12 - -
Isaac Okoro * 27 2-7 2-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Lamar Stevens 23 5-12 2-3 4-6 6 2 1 0 16 - -
Caris LeVert 23 4-9 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Cedi Osman 11 1-5 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Goodwin 1 2-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 6 - -
RJ Nembhard Jr. 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Moses Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dylan Windler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ed Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 39 4-9 2-5 0-0 5 8 1 2 10 - -
Scottie Barnes * 35 4-9 0-2 3-4 6 4 2 1 11 - -
Pascal Siakam * 32 12-20 6-7 5-5 5 6 0 0 35 - -
OG Anunoby * 26 4-11 4-8 2-2 2 3 0 1 14 - -
Khem Birch * 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 33 6-12 2-4 3-4 8 0 3 0 17 - -
Precious Achiuwa 21 3-10 0-3 4-4 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Armoni Brooks 18 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 1 2 1 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 15 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Yuta Watanabe 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter