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2022-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 47.0% 53.0% +0.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% -
Log Adjusted 66.3% 33.7% -
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -5 (121-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 38 8-14 3-5 2-2 5 7 1 0 21 - -
James Harden * 36 7-18 1-6 9-10 7 7 1 0 24 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 8-15 2-5 2-2 7 5 0 0 20 - -
Joel Embiid * 34 11-19 0-1 8-12 10 3 3 3 30 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 1 4 - -
Shake Milton 20 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Georges Niang 13 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 9 - -
DeAndre Jordan 13 4-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 9 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 13 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Danny Green 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stanley Johnson * 35 5-7 3-3 0-0 5 8 0 0 13 - -
Russell Westbrook * 32 10-20 2-5 2-5 9 8 1 0 24 - -
Austin Reaves * 29 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 - -
Wenyen Gabriel * 29 4-11 0-3 0-0 9 0 0 2 8 - -
Dwight Howard * 28 9-14 0-0 6-9 8 1 1 1 24 - -
Malik Monk 31 10-20 3-9 0-0 1 3 2 0 23 - -
Carmelo Anthony 30 8-15 2-6 2-2 7 0 0 0 20 - -
D.J. Augustin 22 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 5 - -

* = starter