Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +19 (110-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 21 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 16 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 33 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 29 | 10-19 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 21 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Wright | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter