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2022-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% -
Bradley-Terry 20.6% 79.4% -
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.9% 59.1% -
Log Adjusted 40.9% 59.1% -
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +28 (125-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 34 13-24 3-12 8-8 6 1 2 0 37 - -
Royce O'Neale * 30 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 2 2 0 6 - -
Rudy Gobert * 30 4-6 0-0 6-6 11 1 1 0 14 - -
Mike Conley * 28 4-12 1-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 9 - -
Eric Paschall * 24 4-12 0-4 3-3 0 2 0 0 11 - -
Jordan Clarkson 26 4-12 1-5 1-2 4 0 2 0 10 - -
Trent Forrest 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Rudy Gay 16 0-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Hassan Whiteside 14 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 5 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Jared Butler 4 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Xavier Sneed 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 32 10-17 3-6 3-4 3 5 0 0 26 - -
Al Horford * 31 3-5 3-5 0-0 6 3 0 3 9 - -
Jayson Tatum * 28 9-15 5-8 3-3 3 3 0 1 26 - -
Marcus Smart * 26 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 13 1 0 5 - -
Robert Williams III * 24 6-7 0-0 0-0 10 2 2 4 12 - -
Derrick White 30 4-10 2-3 0-0 3 5 0 0 10 - -
Payton Pritchard 17 4-6 3-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 11 - -
Daniel Theis 16 5-8 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 1 11 - -
Grant Williams 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 4 - -
Aaron Nesmith 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Sam Hauser 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Nik Stauskas 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kornet 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Brodric Thomas 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter