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2022-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% -
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.3% 39.7% -
Efficiency 76.7% 23.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.5% 26.5% -
Log Adjusted 73.6% 26.4% -
Points Off/Def 62.9% 37.1% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +21 (122-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 33 9-18 3-9 0-0 2 9 2 0 21 - -
Kevin Huerter * 27 3-12 2-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 8 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 26 5-10 1-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 15 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * 21 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Clint Capela * 17 0-5 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 1 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 27 5-16 3-8 0-0 2 2 2 0 13 - -
Delon Wright 26 3-6 3-5 2-2 3 4 2 1 11 - -
Jalen Johnson 24 5-9 0-3 1-1 7 1 1 0 11 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 21 5-7 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 2 11 - -
Kevin Knox II 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Gorgui Dieng 6 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 35 7-12 0-2 3-3 6 8 1 1 17 - -
Saddiq Bey * 34 3-13 3-9 1-2 4 4 2 0 10 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 22 4-7 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 1 8 - -
Jerami Grant * 21 6-11 2-4 7-8 8 4 1 0 21 - -
Cory Joseph * 17 4-6 1-3 2-2 3 2 2 0 11 - -
Killian Hayes 33 5-9 1-2 2-3 8 5 1 0 13 - -
Marvin Bagley III 27 4-13 1-4 4-4 6 0 2 0 13 - -
Rodney McGruder 23 4-6 2-4 0-0 5 6 0 0 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk 18 6-9 1-3 3-3 4 1 0 2 16 - -
Jamorko Pickett 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter