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2022-03-23

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 37.8% 62.2% -
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Log Adjusted 39.4% 60.6% -
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +12 (127-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Jackson * 31 6-18 0-4 2-2 3 6 1 0 14 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 28 6-16 0-6 2-3 3 3 0 0 14 - -
Amir Coffey * 19 2-5 1-2 1-3 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Nicolas Batum * 18 3-6 3-6 0-0 5 2 0 1 9 - -
Ivica Zubac * 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 6 - -
Terance Mann 35 7-10 0-2 10-12 8 4 0 1 24 - -
Luke Kennard 28 3-9 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 23 5-7 0-0 4-4 2 5 2 2 14 - -
Robert Covington 22 4-6 4-6 2-2 3 2 0 2 14 - -
Brandon Boston Jr. 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Semi Ojeleye 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 34 9-15 0-2 12-13 14 6 2 3 30 - -
Will Barton * 34 4-9 2-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Monte Morris * 30 5-10 3-3 2-2 3 5 0 0 15 - -
Aaron Gordon * 30 5-13 1-3 5-5 7 6 0 1 16 - -
Jeff Green * 26 7-10 2-3 0-1 3 2 0 0 16 - -
Austin Rivers 22 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 3 0 1 11 - -
JaMychal Green 18 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Bones Hyland 17 6-8 4-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 16 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 13 4-7 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 8 - -
Bryn Forbes 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -

* = starter