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2022-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% -
Margin 31.0% 69.0% +4.4 (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% -
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% -
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +28 (126-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 35 10-23 1-5 0-0 4 2 1 1 21 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 6-16 4-7 5-6 3 7 1 0 21 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 9-15 4-5 0-0 7 2 0 0 22 - -
Alex Caruso * 29 1-5 1-3 0-2 5 6 1 0 3 - -
Javonte Green * 19 2-4 0-2 0-0 6 0 2 2 4 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 27 3-8 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Coby White 22 2-10 1-6 0-0 0 2 2 0 5 - -
Patrick Williams 18 2-6 1-2 1-3 4 1 1 0 6 - -
Tristan Thompson 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 31 12-17 2-5 1-2 0 7 1 0 27 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 9-12 1-2 6-9 17 5 1 3 25 - -
Wesley Matthews * 24 4-8 2-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Grayson Allen * 23 5-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 10 - -
Brook Lopez * 23 4-9 2-4 0-0 6 2 0 2 10 - -
Pat Connaughton 23 4-8 3-7 3-3 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Bobby Portis 22 3-6 0-1 0-0 9 1 1 0 6 - -
Serge Ibaka 18 4-6 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 1 11 - -
Jevon Carter 18 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 - -
George Hill 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Jordan Nwora 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter