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2022-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 43.6% 56.4% -
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% -
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% -
Points Off/Def 46.0% 54.0% -

Actual: New York Knicks -6 (111-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 39 13-25 7-15 12-14 1 8 1 0 45 30 -
Kevin Huerter * 33 5-9 2-3 2-2 8 4 1 2 14 20 -
De'Andre Hunter * 31 4-9 1-2 1-2 5 2 1 1 10 10 -
Danilo Gallinari * 30 4-11 1-6 1-1 10 3 0 0 10 12 -
Clint Capela * 28 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 10 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 34 11-20 4-10 6-6 4 3 3 0 32 22 -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 1-2 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 1 2 9 -
Delon Wright 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 1 -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 41 9-25 1-7 11-17 13 3 2 0 30 23 -
Alec Burks * 35 9-16 3-7 0-0 1 4 3 0 21 13 -
Mitchell Robinson * 34 4-6 0-0 1-6 6 0 3 4 9 16 -
Evan Fournier * 25 4-11 3-9 0-0 1 4 1 0 11 6 -
Obi Toppin * 23 5-7 0-1 0-0 7 3 1 0 10 14 -
Immanuel Quickley 24 6-11 3-5 2-3 5 2 0 0 17 13 -
Taj Gibson 19 2-5 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 5 -
Jericho Sims 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Quentin Grimes 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 6 -
Miles McBride 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter