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2022-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% - โœ—
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 โœ— (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 64.9% 35.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 83.7% 16.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 83.8% 16.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 72.4% 27.6% - โœ—

Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (94-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 39 9-23 5-13 3-3 2 6 0 0 26 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 36 5-19 2-6 1-2 8 0 1 0 13 - -
Klay Thompson * 32 6-15 2-7 1-1 2 3 2 0 15 - -
Draymond Green * 29 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 7 2 0 2 - -
Kevon Looney * 11 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 26 5-8 2-3 2-2 15 1 0 1 14 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 19 6-8 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 14 - -
Damion Lee 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 2 1 - -
Gary Payton II 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Chiozza 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 7-12 1-4 4-5 8 0 0 0 19 - -
Franz Wagner * 29 6-9 0-1 6-6 0 3 2 1 18 - -
Cole Anthony * 28 5-12 3-6 1-1 5 5 0 0 14 - -
R.J. Hampton * 27 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 5 3 0 5 - -
Mo Bamba * 23 2-7 1-4 2-4 7 3 0 2 7 - -
Chuma Okeke 24 3-8 1-6 1-2 5 4 1 1 8 - -
Gary Harris 20 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 3 0 8 - -
Markelle Fultz 19 4-9 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Admiral Schofield 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 - -
Moritz Wagner 15 2-6 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 1 7 - -

* = starter