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2022-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% -
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% -
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 64.9% 35.1% -
Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.7% 16.3% -
Log Adjusted 83.8% 16.2% -
Points Off/Def 72.4% 27.6% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (94-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 39 9-23 5-13 3-3 2 6 0 0 26 11 -
Andrew Wiggins * 36 5-19 2-6 1-2 8 0 1 0 13 3 -
Klay Thompson * 32 6-15 2-7 1-1 2 3 2 0 15 7 -
Draymond Green * 29 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 7 2 0 2 11 -
Kevon Looney * 11 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 5 7 -
Otto Porter Jr. 26 5-8 2-3 2-2 15 1 0 1 14 23 -
Jonathan Kuminga 19 6-8 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 14 12 -
Damion Lee 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
Nemanja Bjelica 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 2 1 7 -
Gary Payton II 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 -
Chris Chiozza 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Moses Moody 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 7-12 1-4 4-5 8 0 0 0 19 15 -
Franz Wagner * 29 6-9 0-1 6-6 0 3 2 1 18 15 -
Cole Anthony * 28 5-12 3-6 1-1 5 5 0 0 14 12 -
R.J. Hampton * 27 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 5 3 0 5 10 -
Mo Bamba * 23 2-7 1-4 2-4 7 3 0 2 7 12 -
Chuma Okeke 24 3-8 1-6 1-2 5 4 1 1 8 11 -
Gary Harris 20 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 3 0 8 6 -
Markelle Fultz 19 4-9 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 2 -
Admiral Schofield 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 -
Moritz Wagner 15 2-6 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 1 7 7 -

* = starter