Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✗ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (110-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 38 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 37 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 3-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 28 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 23 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 5-17 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 36 | 6-11 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 28 | 7-12 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 23 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter