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2022-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 53.4% 46.6% -0.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 66.0% 34.0% -
Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Log Adjusted 85.1% 14.9% -
Points Off/Def 74.2% 25.8% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -9 (123-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 11-19 5-11 9-9 7 6 2 1 36 - -
Jaylen Brown * 38 10-19 2-5 3-6 3 1 2 0 25 - -
Grant Williams * 37 7-14 1-4 5-6 10 1 0 1 20 - -
Derrick White * 34 5-10 1-5 7-7 5 5 0 1 18 - -
Al Horford * 33 0-1 0-1 3-4 5 7 3 3 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 25 6-13 5-11 1-1 3 2 1 0 18 - -
Daniel Theis 18 4-6 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 1 9 - -
Sam Hauser 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 36 13-23 4-4 1-1 1 9 0 0 31 - -
Darius Bazley * 36 8-13 1-4 5-7 10 3 1 1 22 - -
Tre Mann * 36 13-21 7-12 2-3 7 4 0 0 35 - -
Isaiah Roby * 26 0-6 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 - -
Aaron Wiggins * 23 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 8 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 27 7-13 3-8 2-3 6 3 1 0 19 - -
Lindy Waters III 21 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Vit Krejci 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 2 - -
Theo Maledon 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -

* = starter