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2022-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% -
Efficiency 65.2% 34.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.6% 38.4% -
Log Adjusted 61.6% 38.4% -
Points Off/Def 53.9% 46.1% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +18 (115-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 32 6-12 0-5 1-1 1 1 0 0 13 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 32 7-18 0-3 8-8 13 4 1 5 22 - -
Corey Kispert * 32 5-9 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Rui Hachimura * 29 7-13 2-5 0-0 8 2 0 0 16 - -
Raul Neto * 25 1-8 0-2 4-4 4 10 2 0 6 - -
Deni Avdija 24 2-8 0-3 3-4 9 4 2 1 7 - -
Tomas Satoransky 23 1-4 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Ish Smith 17 2-7 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford 13 3-4 0-0 2-3 6 0 1 0 8 - -
Anthony Gill 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 36 14-18 8-9 3-3 10 2 1 1 39 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 35 5-13 0-3 1-2 3 4 0 1 11 - -
Jalen Green * 31 7-14 3-7 0-1 6 5 1 1 17 - -
Eric Gordon * 24 5-8 5-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 15 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 19 3-10 0-3 1-1 8 6 0 1 7 - -
Alperen Sengun 24 2-7 1-2 2-2 7 3 1 2 7 - -
Dennis Schroder 22 2-5 0-1 4-4 4 5 1 0 8 - -
Garrison Mathews 21 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 1 6 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 5 - -
Josh Christopher 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter