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2022-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.2% 57.8% -
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% -
Log Adjusted 54.4% 45.6% -
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +14 (113-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 38 8-14 0-2 6-8 5 4 0 0 22 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 7-22 3-12 2-2 6 9 2 0 19 - -
Scottie Barnes * 35 3-9 0-1 2-2 6 5 0 2 8 - -
Khem Birch * 29 5-9 0-2 1-1 7 4 0 1 11 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 27 3-9 0-5 0-0 9 1 0 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 33 8-14 1-4 2-2 10 0 1 2 19 - -
Thaddeus Young 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 - -
Armoni Brooks 13 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Yuta Watanabe 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Dalano Banton 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 35 9-18 3-6 5-8 6 6 1 0 26 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 11-14 1-4 3-5 5 1 1 3 26 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 7-17 2-4 3-5 13 2 1 1 19 - -
Alex Caruso * 32 2-7 2-4 1-2 2 6 1 0 7 - -
Javonte Green * 29 3-5 0-1 1-2 4 2 1 0 7 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 24 5-9 1-2 0-0 2 6 0 1 11 - -
Patrick Williams 18 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Coby White 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 - -
Tristan Thompson 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 1 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Tony Bradley 1 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Matt Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter