Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 11-11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 22 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 28 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 31 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 27 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Danny Green | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter