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2022-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Log Adjusted 40.0% 60.0% -
Points Off/Def 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -4 (115-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Williams * 33 6-17 0-3 11-11 6 3 3 0 23 - -
Drew Eubanks * 31 5-8 0-1 7-8 8 2 0 1 17 - -
Justise Winslow * 30 3-12 0-2 4-4 9 3 1 1 10 - -
Trendon Watford * 29 5-9 0-0 3-6 3 4 3 2 13 - -
CJ Elleby * 25 5-7 2-3 4-7 8 2 3 1 16 - -
Ben McLemore 30 7-16 5-12 2-4 5 2 2 1 21 - -
Kris Dunn 26 1-8 0-1 1-1 2 5 0 1 3 - -
Keon Johnson 14 0-4 0-3 1-2 2 1 2 0 1 - -
Greg Brown III 12 2-2 0-0 4-6 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Elijah Hughes 6 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Killian Hayes * 35 4-11 0-2 4-5 5 6 1 1 12 - -
Cade Cunningham * 35 10-17 1-3 4-5 3 7 4 1 25 - -
Saddiq Bey * 33 6-17 5-13 8-8 5 1 1 0 25 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 2-6 0-1 4-4 13 1 0 2 8 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 28 6-9 0-1 3-3 9 2 0 0 15 - -
Isaiah Livers 24 1-7 1-7 2-3 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Saben Lee 19 3-7 1-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 9 - -
Luka Garza 16 2-4 0-1 7-11 2 0 1 1 11 - -
Jamorko Pickett 14 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter