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2022-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% -
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% -
Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% -
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -11 (120-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 40 17-29 0-4 4-4 11 12 1 1 38 - -
Russell Westbrook * 35 7-14 2-6 4-7 4 11 1 0 20 - -
Wenyen Gabriel * 31 4-10 0-4 1-1 6 0 2 0 9 - -
Austin Reaves * 29 4-9 1-1 2-2 5 6 0 1 11 - -
Dwight Howard * 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 - -
D.J. Augustin 25 7-7 6-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 20 - -
Stanley Johnson 23 5-8 2-4 0-0 3 1 3 0 12 - -
Malik Monk 22 5-10 0-4 2-2 2 3 0 1 12 - -
Carmelo Anthony 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Avery Bradley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 40 10-23 2-8 7-7 2 17 1 0 29 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 37 6-12 4-10 2-2 9 1 0 0 18 - -
Lamar Stevens * 34 8-12 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 16 - -
Isaac Okoro * 29 4-4 4-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Evan Mobley * 27 6-11 0-1 1-1 5 2 0 1 13 - -
Kevin Love 20 3-8 2-7 0-0 6 4 0 0 8 - -
Cedi Osman 17 2-7 1-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Caris LeVert 16 4-7 1-3 4-4 4 2 0 0 13 - -
Brandon Goodwin 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Moses Brown 4 1-1 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 1 3 - -
RJ Nembhard Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dylan Windler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ed Davis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter