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2022-03-21

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +3 (106-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaxson Hayes * 37 3-8 0-1 3-3 7 1 0 1 9 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 10-19 3-7 4-4 0 6 1 0 27 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 11-18 1-2 1-1 18 5 1 2 24 - -
Devonte' Graham * 24 1-8 0-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 - -
Herbert Jones * 19 1-5 1-2 2-2 2 2 2 1 5 - -
Naji Marshall 25 5-9 1-3 3-4 5 1 0 0 14 - -
Jose Alvarado 23 3-8 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Willy Hernangomez 18 4-9 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 9 - -
Trey Murphy III 18 2-4 2-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 6 - -
Tyrone Wallace 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 35 6-13 2-6 2-2 4 5 1 0 16 - -
Terry Rozier * 34 7-14 3-9 0-0 2 1 1 1 17 - -
P.J. Washington * 32 3-6 0-3 0-0 5 7 1 1 6 - -
LaMelo Ball * 32 6-12 4-9 1-1 4 9 0 2 17 - -
Mason Plumlee * 24 4-7 0-0 3-4 10 3 0 1 11 - -
Cody Martin 28 2-2 0-0 0-1 5 4 1 1 4 - -
Montrezl Harrell 20 5-9 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 2 12 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 14 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 2 6 - -
Isaiah Thomas 13 5-9 2-3 3-3 0 1 0 0 15 - -
Jalen McDaniels 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter