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2022-03-21

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 54.4% 45.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% -
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% -
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% -
Points Off/Def 30.6% 69.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -2 (108-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joshua Primo * 34 5-10 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 11 - -
Devin Vassell * 33 3-12 3-8 3-4 6 1 3 0 12 - -
Keldon Johnson * 33 5-15 2-9 2-3 7 5 1 0 14 - -
Dejounte Murray * 33 8-24 2-6 1-1 6 8 0 0 19 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 25 2-7 0-0 3-6 14 2 0 1 7 - -
Josh Richardson 27 8-12 3-5 6-6 2 1 1 0 25 - -
Tre Jones 20 3-7 2-3 1-1 4 4 2 0 9 - -
Zach Collins 19 4-8 2-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Jock Landale 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Joe Wieskamp 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 38 9-22 6-12 0-0 3 0 1 0 24 - -
Jordan Poole * 36 11-21 4-9 2-2 5 3 0 0 28 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 33 5-13 0-3 6-9 8 2 2 0 16 - -
Draymond Green * 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 6 5 0 0 4 - -
Kevon Looney * 17 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 29 6-13 0-3 4-4 16 3 0 1 16 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 24 4-8 1-2 0-0 9 6 0 0 9 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 23 4-7 0-2 1-2 5 1 0 0 9 - -
Chris Chiozza 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 - -

* = starter