Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -20 (104-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 12-19 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 32 | 11-17 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 19 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nik Stauskas | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Fitts | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 8-23 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 24 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 17 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter