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2022-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 75.6% 24.4% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 64.1% 35.9% -3.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% -
Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% -
Log Adjusted 79.2% 20.8% -
Points Off/Def 67.2% 32.8% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -3 (124-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 50 9-18 2-6 7-8 2 1 2 0 27 - -
Devin Booker * 37 11-21 2-5 7-7 7 5 1 0 31 - -
Deandre Ayton * 27 5-6 0-0 2-2 10 2 0 0 12 - -
Jae Crowder * 21 2-7 2-6 0-0 3 4 2 0 6 - -
Elfrid Payton * 18 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 3 2 1 - -
Torrey Craig 31 3-7 0-1 0-0 10 2 2 0 6 - -
Landry Shamet 30 7-11 5-9 2-3 2 1 1 1 21 - -
Aaron Holiday 22 4-10 1-1 0-0 5 7 1 0 9 - -
JaVale McGee 17 5-8 0-0 4-5 7 1 0 2 14 - -
Bismack Biyombo 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ish Wainright 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Davion Mitchell * 46 9-22 4-7 6-6 3 9 1 0 28 - -
Harrison Barnes * 41 7-16 1-5 6-8 4 3 0 0 21 - -
Trey Lyles * 32 3-8 2-4 3-3 5 1 2 1 11 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 31 5-8 1-1 7-9 12 6 2 0 18 - -
Justin Holiday * 27 3-9 2-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 28 4-11 3-6 2-2 1 3 3 0 13 - -
Damian Jones 22 5-8 1-1 2-4 7 1 2 1 13 - -
Chimezie Metu 20 1-4 1-1 2-2 2 0 2 0 5 - -
Jeremy Lamb 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 5 - -

* = starter