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2022-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 65.1% 34.9% -
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% -
Margin 71.3% 28.7% -5.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Log Adjusted 45.4% 54.6% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +5 (90-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aleksej Pokusevski * 31 3-20 1-10 0-0 7 5 2 2 7 - -
Tre Mann * 31 5-19 3-11 0-0 5 1 2 1 13 - -
Isaiah Roby * 28 4-10 1-4 2-2 10 3 3 2 11 - -
Darius Bazley * 27 6-11 2-6 4-7 1 0 1 0 18 - -
Aaron Wiggins * 27 0-8 0-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 - -
Vit Krejci 32 3-5 1-2 1-2 5 1 2 0 8 - -
Theo Maledon 21 3-10 1-5 3-5 5 4 1 2 10 - -
Lindy Waters III 20 4-7 4-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 12 - -
Olivier Sarr 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 33 3-12 0-3 5-5 7 4 2 1 11 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 30 12-15 2-3 4-7 16 2 2 1 30 - -
Cole Anthony * 28 1-7 1-4 3-4 2 7 0 0 6 - -
R.J. Hampton * 24 4-7 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Mo Bamba * 21 3-7 1-3 0-0 10 1 1 1 7 - -
Chuma Okeke 30 2-7 2-5 2-2 11 2 2 1 8 - -
Gary Harris 23 2-10 0-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Moritz Wagner 22 3-9 1-5 3-4 5 0 1 0 10 - -
Markelle Fultz 19 2-8 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter