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2022-03-20

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 38.0% 62.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% -
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% -
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -5 (112-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 38 9-26 2-6 5-6 4 8 1 0 25 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 37 5-12 1-2 1-1 12 1 0 1 12 - -
Herbert Jones * 36 4-6 1-2 2-3 3 2 4 0 11 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 33 10-16 1-2 5-6 12 4 1 0 26 - -
Naji Marshall * 26 3-9 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 7 - -
Jose Alvarado 23 5-9 1-3 4-4 4 4 3 0 15 - -
Trey Murphy III 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Willy Hernangomez 14 5-12 0-1 7-7 10 2 1 0 17 - -
Tyrone Wallace 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Gary Clark 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danilo Gallinari * 41 11-21 3-9 2-2 5 3 0 0 27 - -
Trae Young * 33 5-14 3-5 8-8 5 10 0 0 21 - -
Clint Capela * 30 7-10 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 1 14 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 25 5-10 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 1 11 - -
Kevin Huerter * 18 0-5 0-4 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 32 8-18 2-9 3-3 4 3 0 0 21 - -
Delon Wright 26 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 3 2 0 8 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 17 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 1 3 - -
Lou Williams 14 2-5 1-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 7 - -

* = starter