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2022-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 58.5% 41.5% -1.9 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% -
Efficiency 85.5% 14.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.9% 16.1% -
Log Adjusted 83.9% 16.1% -
Points Off/Def 73.6% 26.4% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -24 (98-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 31 8-13 3-6 5-5 5 7 3 0 24 - -
Tyus Jones * 29 5-10 2-3 1-1 3 7 1 0 13 - -
Dillon Brooks * 25 8-18 2-5 2-2 4 1 3 0 20 - -
Steven Adams * 24 2-6 0-0 1-2 9 3 1 0 5 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 21 4-9 3-5 4-4 5 3 1 3 15 - -
Ziaire Williams 22 6-12 1-6 1-1 3 0 0 1 14 - -
Kyle Anderson 21 3-8 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 1 7 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 6 - -
De'Anthony Melton 19 6-10 4-6 0-0 7 1 1 0 16 - -
John Konchar 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Xavier Tillman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Jarrett Culver 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 27 5-18 2-7 2-4 5 3 1 0 14 - -
Jalen Green * 26 3-13 0-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Christian Wood * 21 4-8 2-6 2-3 7 1 0 0 12 - -
Garrison Mathews * 18 0-1 0-1 2-4 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 1 4 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 29 6-8 3-4 0-1 4 0 1 1 15 - -
Dennis Schroder 27 6-13 3-6 2-2 4 4 0 0 17 - -
Josh Christopher 23 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 7 0 0 4 - -
Alperen Sengun 22 5-7 0-2 2-3 9 3 1 0 12 - -
Daishen Nix 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 - -
David Nwaba 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 5 3-5 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 6 - -

* = starter