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2022-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 56.4% 43.6% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 64.1% 35.9% -3.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% -
Log Adjusted 47.6% 52.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +8 (127-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 36 10-15 2-3 0-0 10 8 1 1 22 - -
LeBron James * 35 16-29 4-10 2-3 10 6 0 0 38 - -
Malik Monk * 27 6-9 3-5 2-2 2 3 0 0 17 - -
Austin Reaves * 27 3-6 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Stanley Johnson * 25 5-9 0-2 2-2 4 3 1 0 12 - -
Carmelo Anthony 23 5-10 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Avery Bradley 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
D.J. Augustin 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 16 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 11 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 32 4-11 3-5 7-9 10 3 1 0 18 - -
Corey Kispert * 31 5-11 3-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 13 - -
Rui Hachimura * 25 5-9 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 10 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 25 9-17 1-3 8-10 3 5 1 0 27 - -
Raul Neto * 18 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Deni Avdija 31 4-14 3-8 6-6 4 4 1 0 17 - -
Tomas Satoransky 26 6-6 2-2 2-2 3 6 2 0 16 - -
Ish Smith 25 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 5 1 0 4 - -
Daniel Gafford 21 7-9 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 1 17 - -

* = starter