Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✗ (24.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +21 (129-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 29 | 13-20 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 23 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 22 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 16 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 30 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 30 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 29 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 27 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas | 14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter