Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +19 (138-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 25 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 23 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 21 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 20 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 27 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 21 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 20 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 16 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 33 | 9-16 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 31 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 9-11 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 30 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 21 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 20 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 16 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 12 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Leandro Bolmaro | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter