Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.3% | 19.7% | -7.7 | ✓ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -29 (97-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 34 | 12-16 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 28 | 11-18 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 28 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 22 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 20 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malik Fitts | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nik Stauskas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Holiday * | 40 | 7-13 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 12-20 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 29 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter