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2022-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 22.8% 77.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 (21.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 21.3% 78.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Log Adjusted 26.0% 74.0% -
Points Off/Def 29.8% 70.2% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +27 (129-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 33 6-14 0-1 7-8 1 2 0 0 19 - -
Zach LaVine * 29 1-7 0-1 10-12 2 9 0 0 12 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 28 2-9 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 26 8-16 0-2 0-1 7 1 2 0 16 - -
Javonte Green * 21 2-3 1-2 1-2 7 0 1 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 25 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 8 - -
Coby White 25 5-11 2-6 2-2 2 1 0 0 14 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Tristan Thompson 15 4-7 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Matt Thomas 3 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 8 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 37 4-10 2-6 1-2 6 3 0 3 11 - -
Devin Booker * 32 10-18 1-3 7-7 4 3 0 0 28 - -
Torrey Craig * 31 5-5 2-2 2-2 9 2 2 0 14 - -
Cameron Payne * 29 6-13 2-5 1-2 2 7 0 0 15 - -
Deandre Ayton * 23 8-11 0-1 4-4 12 1 0 0 20 - -
Landry Shamet 27 5-11 3-6 1-1 2 2 0 0 14 - -
Elfrid Payton 18 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 - -
JaVale McGee 17 4-4 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 1 12 - -
Ish Wainright 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 6 2-2 1-1 4-4 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Bismack Biyombo 6 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter