Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -3 (118-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 34 | 11-19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett * | 30 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 29 | 4-20 | 3-12 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 26 | 9-9 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 25 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 13 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Lance Stephenson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Anderson | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 34 | 11-14 | 4-6 | 6-8 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 21 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter