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2022-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 28.5% 71.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% -
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.8% 71.2% -
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% -
Points Off/Def 31.2% 68.8% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -5 (123-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 44 15-26 2-7 4-7 9 7 0 2 36 - -
Russell Westbrook * 41 8-18 4-7 2-2 10 10 1 0 22 - -
Malik Monk * 30 4-9 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Wenyen Gabriel * 24 7-8 3-3 0-1 3 2 0 1 17 - -
Dwight Howard * 23 1-2 0-0 5-7 6 0 0 1 7 - -
Stanley Johnson 30 2-9 0-2 0-0 3 5 2 0 4 - -
Austin Reaves 27 3-10 2-7 2-2 7 6 2 0 10 - -
Avery Bradley 24 4-8 4-7 2-2 3 1 1 0 14 - -
D.J. Augustin 18 3-6 3-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 9 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 46 8-19 2-9 2-2 3 7 4 0 20 - -
Pascal Siakam * 46 6-12 1-2 4-7 6 7 1 1 17 - -
Scottie Barnes * 42 14-21 1-4 2-2 17 6 1 0 31 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 41 8-17 4-8 3-4 3 3 1 1 23 - -
Khem Birch * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Precious Achiuwa 36 7-13 3-8 1-2 5 1 0 0 18 - -
Chris Boucher 16 3-8 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Dalano Banton 6 1-2 0-1 1-3 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter