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2022-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% -
Bradley-Terry 22.3% 77.7% -
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.7% 65.3% -

Actual: New York Knicks +3 (100-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 37 4-9 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 2 9 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 35 6-17 4-9 2-4 5 9 0 1 18 - -
Corey Kispert * 29 4-7 2-5 4-4 2 1 1 0 14 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 28 5-9 2-5 6-6 11 1 0 1 18 - -
Raul Neto * 24 5-10 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 1 11 - -
Deni Avdija 24 1-5 0-2 2-4 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Rui Hachimura 20 4-7 2-2 1-1 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Daniel Gafford 16 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 5 - -
Ish Smith 14 2-10 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Tomas Satoransky 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 39 6-22 1-4 5-6 6 3 0 1 18 - -
Julius Randle * 38 6-22 1-7 5-8 17 4 0 0 18 - -
Evan Fournier * 34 5-13 5-11 0-0 2 4 3 0 15 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 30 6-10 0-0 3-3 12 0 0 0 15 - -
Alec Burks * 27 3-6 2-3 4-6 5 2 1 0 12 - -
Immanuel Quickley 27 3-7 0-1 9-9 4 5 1 0 15 - -
Quentin Grimes 17 1-5 1-4 2-2 6 0 2 1 5 - -
Jericho Sims 14 0-1 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 1 0 - -
Obi Toppin 9 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 - -

* = starter