Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +3 (119-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 15-24 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 34 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 15 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 45 | 9-20 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 42 | 11-18 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 38 | 11-22 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 30 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 29 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter