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2022-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 80.5% 19.5% -
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% -
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% -
Points Off/Def 22.8% 77.2% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +5 (128-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 39 9-18 3-8 4-5 5 7 1 0 25 - -
Brandon Williams * 37 10-19 3-7 1-3 6 5 3 1 24 - -
Trendon Watford * 31 3-8 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 1 8 - -
Justise Winslow * 28 7-15 1-3 0-5 5 5 3 1 15 - -
Drew Eubanks * 26 8-10 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 0 18 - -
CJ Elleby 25 4-9 1-2 1-3 5 2 1 1 10 - -
Kris Dunn 25 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 4 4 0 6 - -
Ben McLemore 24 5-13 5-12 2-2 3 2 1 0 17 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Curry * 37 9-14 7-11 2-2 3 2 2 0 27 - -
Kevin Durant * 37 11-15 2-3 14-15 6 6 0 1 38 - -
Goran Dragic * 36 3-7 1-3 2-2 2 10 3 0 9 - -
Bruce Brown * 33 7-12 0-2 3-5 7 3 1 1 17 - -
Andre Drummond * 23 6-10 0-0 5-6 9 1 0 0 17 - -
Nic Claxton 24 3-5 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 2 7 - -
Patty Mills 17 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Cam Thomas 13 5-8 0-1 1-1 5 2 1 0 11 - -
James Johnson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Kessler Edwards 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter