Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +15 (120-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 33 | 11-23 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 31 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 23 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delon Wright * | 32 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 27 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 29 | 9-15 | 5-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter