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2022-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 67.3% 32.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 45.5% 54.5% +1.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -14 (120-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 38 17-27 10-14 7-10 9 4 3 0 51 40 -
Marvin Bagley III * 31 7-15 2-5 4-10 11 2 2 0 20 20 -
Cory Joseph * 31 4-12 3-4 2-2 4 7 0 0 13 12 -
Isaiah Stewart * 29 7-10 0-1 2-3 10 1 1 0 16 18 -
Killian Hayes * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 0 3 -
Saben Lee 21 4-7 0-3 4-4 1 7 3 0 12 16 -
Isaiah Livers 19 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 4 -
Rodney McGruder 19 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 6 7 -
Kelly Olynyk 18 3-6 2-5 1-2 3 2 1 1 9 10 -
Jamorko Pickett 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 2 2 3 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Anthony * 33 4-15 2-6 2-2 5 7 1 1 12 11 -
Franz Wagner * 30 10-15 2-3 4-5 5 2 0 1 26 19 -
R.J. Hampton * 29 3-11 1-6 1-2 2 3 0 1 8 3 -
Moritz Wagner * 28 7-12 1-4 1-2 5 3 1 0 16 13 -
Mo Bamba * 24 4-8 1-2 1-2 12 2 0 1 10 17 -
Terrence Ross 22 6-12 2-5 3-4 2 2 1 0 17 10 -
Admiral Schofield 20 2-3 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 7 9 -
Markelle Fultz 18 5-11 0-0 1-1 5 5 0 0 11 10 -
Robin Lopez 16 3-6 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 6 2 -
Ignas Brazdeikis 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 5 -

* = starter