Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -9 (126-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 34 | 12-23 | 0-2 | 12-16 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 28 | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 10-20 | 7-10 | 5-5 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 31 | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| George Hill | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Brook Lopez | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 10-13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 8-23 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 30 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 29 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 12 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter