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2022-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 51.1% 48.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 55.3% 44.7% -1.2 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -22 (88-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 6-16 3-8 11-12 12 4 1 0 26 27 -
Jaylen Brown * 34 9-21 2-8 6-7 7 3 0 0 26 15 -
Marcus Smart * 33 8-12 4-7 0-0 4 8 1 0 20 21 -
Al Horford * 31 2-5 1-3 1-2 5 1 0 0 6 7 -
Robert Williams III * 23 4-5 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 4 8 17 -
Derrick White 21 0-8 0-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 1 -
Grant Williams 20 2-2 1-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 5 9 -
Payton Pritchard 18 4-9 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 10 4 -
Daniel Theis 11 1-1 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 3 7 -
Nik Stauskas 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Sam Hauser 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Malik Fitts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 34 10-20 6-13 3-4 2 3 2 1 29 17 -
Klay Thompson * 32 8-24 1-11 1-2 3 1 0 0 18 -2 -
Kevon Looney * 27 4-6 0-0 1-1 8 4 1 2 9 18 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 24 2-10 1-6 0-0 3 1 2 1 5 2 -
Stephen Curry * 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 2 -
Draymond Green 22 0-2 0-2 2-2 8 3 2 0 2 13 -
Jonathan Kuminga 22 1-6 0-3 3-4 1 1 0 0 5 1 -
Damion Lee 17 0-5 0-5 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 2 -
Quinndary Weatherspoon 15 1-3 0-1 1-1 5 1 0 0 3 6 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 14 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 7 7 -
Moses Moody 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Chris Chiozza 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter