Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.3% | 34.7% | -3.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (122-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 14-22 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 33 | 9-16 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 27 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 36 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 8-8 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 28 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 22 | 6-18 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter