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2022-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.3% 33.7% -
Efficiency 87.3% 12.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% -
Log Adjusted 84.9% 15.1% -
Points Off/Def 74.3% 25.7% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -17 (112-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 43 10-17 3-6 3-4 3 5 3 0 26 - -
Devin Booker * 36 15-24 5-12 1-1 4 4 0 1 36 - -
Torrey Craig * 34 8-8 3-3 2-2 14 3 0 2 21 - -
Deandre Ayton * 31 10-19 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 1 23 - -
Cameron Payne * 31 3-10 0-5 0-0 7 11 1 0 6 - -
Aaron Holiday 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 0 - -
JaVale McGee 15 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Landry Shamet 15 2-4 2-4 1-2 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Ish Wainright 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Bismack Biyombo 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Elfrid Payton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 36 7-15 5-10 2-2 4 8 2 2 21 - -
Jalen Green * 36 9-15 4-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 22 - -
Christian Wood * 27 5-12 2-7 6-9 9 1 0 0 18 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 24 4-6 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 1 10 - -
Garrison Mathews * 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 - -
Dennis Schroder 27 7-13 3-7 0-0 3 6 0 0 17 - -
Alperen Sengun 25 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 3 3 0 5 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 18 5-6 1-1 0-1 4 1 1 0 11 - -
Josh Christopher 18 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Daishen Nix 11 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter