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2022-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 58.5% 41.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% - ✓
Margin 16.7% 83.3% +8.8 ✓ (21.2 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% - ✓
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 17.5% 82.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 24.1% 75.9% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +30 (128-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trendon Watford * 31 4-11 0-3 3-4 8 5 0 0 11 - -
Drew Eubanks * 29 5-8 0-0 0-0 9 5 0 0 10 - -
Brandon Williams * 28 6-15 2-6 0-2 2 2 0 2 14 - -
Josh Hart * 27 6-15 2-6 3-4 5 3 0 0 17 - -
Justise Winslow * 18 3-10 1-6 0-0 7 2 0 0 7 - -
Kris Dunn 27 6-9 1-1 0-0 1 7 1 0 13 - -
CJ Elleby 21 3-5 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Keon Johnson 17 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 7 - -
Ben McLemore 14 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Greg Brown III 11 1-3 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Elijah Hughes 4 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Keljin Blevins 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 40 10-20 5-11 6-7 4 5 2 1 31 - -
Julius Randle * 33 5-18 0-5 10-12 9 7 1 1 20 - -
Alec Burks * 27 3-9 1-4 3-3 6 2 1 0 10 - -
Evan Fournier * 27 5-10 4-9 0-1 2 6 2 0 14 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 24 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 5 7 - -
Immanuel Quickley 25 4-5 3-3 7-8 5 6 1 0 18 - -
Jericho Sims 23 2-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 5 - -
Miles McBride 19 1-1 1-1 4-4 4 3 2 0 7 - -
Obi Toppin 14 6-10 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 13 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter