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2022-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 59.5% 40.5% -2.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% -
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% -
Points Off/Def 51.3% 48.7% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -2 (111-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 38 14-26 5-12 4-4 9 9 2 1 37 - -
Jalen Brunson * 34 8-15 1-3 1-1 5 3 0 0 18 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 33 3-6 1-3 2-2 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 33 6-14 2-6 8-8 4 3 3 0 22 - -
Dwight Powell * 29 5-7 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 1 12 - -
Maxi Kleber 30 1-5 0-4 2-2 5 3 0 0 4 - -
Josh Green 17 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Davis Bertans 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Sterling Brown 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Frank Ntilikina 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 39 8-20 2-5 5-5 6 10 0 0 23 - -
Bruce Brown * 38 7-16 1-2 2-3 9 5 0 0 17 - -
Patty Mills * 36 3-11 3-9 0-0 1 2 2 0 9 - -
Goran Dragic * 35 9-16 1-4 2-2 3 4 0 0 21 - -
Andre Drummond * 21 7-8 0-0 0-1 17 1 0 1 14 - -
Nic Claxton 26 6-8 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Kessler Edwards 20 4-7 2-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 12 - -
James Johnson 15 1-4 0-1 0-1 3 2 0 1 2 - -
Cam Thomas 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter