Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.0% | 19.0% | -8.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -18 (109-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Morris * | 30 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 26 | 10-14 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 24 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 20 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 17 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kispert * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 28 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 27 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 22 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter