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2022-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 55.7% 44.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.2% 34.8% -
Log Adjusted 65.2% 34.8% -
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -11 (103-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 40 3-14 2-12 3-4 7 7 1 0 11 - -
Scottie Barnes * 39 9-17 1-2 2-3 9 5 1 2 21 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 7-19 3-9 11-13 5 3 1 1 28 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 9-17 2-3 7-10 11 5 1 1 27 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 33 5-13 0-3 0-0 11 2 2 2 10 - -
Chris Boucher 20 5-8 2-5 1-2 8 0 0 0 13 - -
Thaddeus Young 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 9 2 2 1 2 - -
Khem Birch 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 1 - -
Dalano Banton 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Armoni Brooks 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 40 11-19 4-7 4-7 9 3 0 2 30 - -
Russell Westbrook * 34 4-10 0-1 6-7 8 4 1 0 14 - -
Malik Monk * 23 3-8 1-4 1-2 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Austin Reaves * 16 1-7 0-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Stanley Johnson * 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 - -
Carmelo Anthony 27 3-10 3-9 5-5 3 1 1 1 14 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 27 8-13 3-5 1-2 5 5 2 1 20 - -
Wayne Ellington 25 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 3 2 1 6 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 18 1-8 0-3 0-0 9 1 0 1 2 - -
D.J. Augustin 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Avery Bradley 4 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter