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2022-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 56.4% 43.6% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% -
Points Off/Def 53.4% 46.6% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +9 (112-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 7-17 0-0 7-7 7 6 0 0 21 17 -
Zach LaVine * 36 8-18 2-7 9-9 3 6 0 1 27 19 -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 10-22 3-7 0-0 10 2 0 0 23 13 -
Ayo Dosunmu * 30 3-9 0-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 1 -
Javonte Green * 17 2-4 1-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 5 8 -
Alex Caruso 27 2-7 1-4 1-2 1 2 0 1 6 3 -
Coby White 23 4-10 3-9 2-2 0 3 0 0 13 6 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 18 0-1 0-1 2-2 6 1 2 1 2 11 -
Tristan Thompson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 2 0 9 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 41 13-25 3-8 5-6 6 6 1 0 34 22 -
Domantas Sabonis * 37 6-15 0-1 10-10 7 4 1 0 22 19 -
Harrison Barnes * 36 2-8 0-4 2-2 6 6 1 2 6 13 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 34 4-9 3-5 4-4 7 4 1 0 15 18 -
Trey Lyles * 23 3-4 0-0 3-4 11 1 0 0 9 17 -
Davion Mitchell 26 7-14 2-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 16 8 -
Chimezie Metu 19 4-7 2-3 0-0 3 1 3 0 10 10 -
Richaun Holmes 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Maurice Harkless 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 -
Josh Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter